football · Base Image Variation · 30 cards
2025 Topps Chrome Football Base Image Variation #403 Peyton Manning
Indianapolis Colts
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Work out the odds for this card: the average return across every grade, the chance of losing money, and the most to pay for it raw.
Run the numbers on this cardEvery version of this card
Pack odds from Topps' published odds sheet. Counts for unnumbered versions are worked out from the odds of a numbered version, with a 15% range either way.
| Version | Pack odds | Copies made | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | 1 in 491 fanatics box 1 in 70 first day issue hobby 1 in 374 hanger box ea 1 in 374 hanger box se 1 in 234 hobby 1 in 71 jumbo 1 in 820 mega box cee 1 in 818 mega box ea 1 in 818 mega box se 1 in 1,633 value box cee 1 in 1,635 value box ea 1 in 1,635 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Green Refractor | 1 in 330 breaker delight 1 in 4,895 fanatics box 1 in 1,248 first day issue hobby 1 in 2,910 hanger box ea 1 in 2,912 hanger box se 1 in 3,518 hobby 1 in 1,229 jumbo 1 in 5,049 mega box cee 1 in 5,043 mega box ea 1 in 5,030 mega box se 1 in 15,320 value box cee 1 in 15,374 value box ea 1 in 15,422 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Gold Refractor | 1 in 653 breaker delight 1 in 9,568 fanatics box 1 in 2,496 first day issue hobby 1 in 5,820 hanger box ea 1 in 5,749 hanger box se 1 in 6,964 hobby 1 in 2,434 jumbo 1 in 9,592 mega box cee 1 in 9,945 mega box ea 1 in 9,969 mega box se 1 in 28,450 value box cee 1 in 30,363 value box ea 1 in 30,500 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| White Refractor | 1 in 1,082 breaker delight 1 in 16,191 fanatics box 1 in 3,744 first day issue hobby 1 in 9,625 hanger box ea 1 in 9,527 hanger box se 1 in 11,593 hobby 1 in 4,047 jumbo 1 in 15,986 mega box cee 1 in 16,575 mega box ea 1 in 16,615 mega box se 1 in 49,788 value box cee 1 in 50,605 value box ea 1 in 50,833 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Orange Refractor | 1 in 1,306 breaker delight 1 in 19,135 fanatics box 1 in 4,992 first day issue hobby 1 in 11,375 hanger box ea 1 in 11,498 hanger box se 1 in 13,927 hobby 1 in 4,867 jumbo 1 in 19,183 mega box cee 1 in 20,028 mega box ea 1 in 19,938 mega box se 1 in 66,384 value box cee 1 in 60,726 value box ea 1 in 60,730 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Black Refractor | 1 in 3,156 breaker delight 1 in 52,619 fanatics box 1 in 14,976 first day issue hobby 1 in 27,806 hanger box ea 1 in 28,993 hanger box se 1 in 34,585 hobby 1 in 12,014 jumbo 1 in 47,957 mega box cee 1 in 49,725 mega box ea 1 in 49,844 mega box se 1 in 199,150 value box cee 1 in 151,815 value box ea 1 in 152,498 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Red Refractor | 1 in 6,312 breaker delight 1 in 105,238 fanatics box 1 in 14,976 first day issue hobby 1 in 62,562 hanger box ea 1 in 55,570 hanger box se 1 in 69,170 hobby 1 in 24,027 jumbo 1 in 95,914 mega box cee 1 in 103,001 mega box ea 1 in 99,688 mega box se 1 in 199,150 value box cee 1 in 303,629 value box ea 1 in 311,927 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Superfractor | 1 in 37,870 breaker delight 1 in 250,247 hanger box ea 1 in 333,415 hanger box se 1 in 345,847 hobby 1 in 128,144 jumbo 1 in 480,672 mega box ea 1 in 465,209 mega box se 1 in 1,214,514 value box ea 1 in 1,715,599 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire | 1 in 36 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Gold Sapphire | 1 in 54 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Orange Sapphire | 1 in 108 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Black Sapphire | 1 in 270 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Red Sapphire | 1 in 539 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Padparadscha Sapphire | 1 in 2,692 sapphire hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Green Geometric Refractor | 1 in 14 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Purple Geometric Refractor | 1 in 18 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Gold Geometric Refractor | 1 in 27 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Orange Geometric Refractor | 1 in 53 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Black Geometric Refractor | 1 in 131 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Red Geometric Refractor | 1 in 258 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Tie Dye Geometric Refractor | 1 in 642 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| First Day Issue | 1 in 86 first day issue hobby | Not enough odds to tell |
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