football · Shadow Etch · 30 cards

2025 Topps Chrome Football Shadow Etch #SE-21 Justin Jefferson

Minnesota Vikings

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Work out the odds for this card: the average return across every grade, the chance of losing money, and the most to pay for it raw.

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Every version of this card

Pack odds from Topps' published odds sheet. Counts for unnumbered versions are worked out from the odds of a numbered version, with a 15% range either way.

VersionPack oddsCopies madeHow we know
Base
1 in 155 first day issue hobby
1 in 387 hobby
1 in 155 jumbo
Not enough odds to tell
Gold Refractor
1 in 653 breaker delight
1 in 9,568 fanatics box
1 in 2,496 first day issue hobby
1 in 5,820 hanger box ea
1 in 5,749 hanger box se
1 in 6,964 hobby
1 in 2,434 jumbo
1 in 9,592 mega box cee
1 in 9,945 mega box ea
1 in 9,969 mega box se
1 in 28,450 value box cee
1 in 30,363 value box ea
1 in 30,500 value box se
Not enough odds to tell
Orange Refractor
1 in 1,306 breaker delight
1 in 19,135 fanatics box
1 in 4,992 first day issue hobby
1 in 11,375 hanger box ea
1 in 11,498 hanger box se
1 in 13,927 hobby
1 in 4,867 jumbo
1 in 19,183 mega box cee
1 in 20,028 mega box ea
1 in 19,938 mega box se
1 in 66,384 value box cee
1 in 60,726 value box ea
1 in 60,730 value box se
Not enough odds to tell
Black Refractor
1 in 3,156 breaker delight
1 in 52,619 fanatics box
1 in 14,976 first day issue hobby
1 in 27,806 hanger box ea
1 in 28,993 hanger box se
1 in 34,585 hobby
1 in 12,014 jumbo
1 in 47,957 mega box cee
1 in 49,725 mega box ea
1 in 49,844 mega box se
1 in 199,150 value box cee
1 in 151,815 value box ea
1 in 152,498 value box se
Not enough odds to tell
Red Refractor
1 in 6,312 breaker delight
1 in 105,238 fanatics box
1 in 14,976 first day issue hobby
1 in 62,562 hanger box ea
1 in 55,570 hanger box se
1 in 69,170 hobby
1 in 24,027 jumbo
1 in 95,914 mega box cee
1 in 103,001 mega box ea
1 in 99,688 mega box se
1 in 199,150 value box cee
1 in 303,629 value box ea
1 in 311,927 value box se
Not enough odds to tell
Superfractor
1 in 37,870 breaker delight
1 in 250,247 hanger box ea
1 in 333,415 hanger box se
1 in 345,847 hobby
1 in 128,144 jumbo
1 in 480,672 mega box ea
1 in 465,209 mega box se
1 in 1,214,514 value box ea
1 in 1,715,599 value box se
Not enough odds to tell

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