basketball · Base · 200 cards
2025 Topps Chrome Updates Basketball #129 Dorian Finney-Smith
Houston Rockets
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Work out the odds for this card: the average return across every grade, the chance of losing money, and the most to pay for it raw.
Run the numbers on this cardEvery version of this card
Pack odds from Topps' published odds sheet. Counts for unnumbered versions are worked out from the odds of a numbered version, with a 15% range either way.
| Version | Pack odds | Copies made | How we know |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | 1 in 1 ascc promo packs 1 in 1 fanatics box 1 in 1 hobby 1 in 1 jumbo 1 in 1 mega box cee 1 in 1 mega box ea 1 in 1 mega box se 1 in 1 value box cee 1 in 1 value box ea 1 in 1 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors | 1 in 1 breaker delight 1 in 4 fanatics box 1 in 4 hobby 1 in 1 jumbo 1 in 4 mega box cee 1 in 4 mega box ea 1 in 4 mega box se 1 in 7 value box cee 1 in 7 value box ea 1 in 7 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Prism | 1 in 5 hobby 1 in 2 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Negative | 1 in 45 hobby 1 in 9 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Magenta | 1 in 3 breaker delight 1 in 106 fanatics box 1 in 76 hobby 1 in 31 jumbo 1 in 1,353 mega box cee 1 in 1,353 mega box ea 1 in 1,353 mega box se 1 in 218 value box cee 1 in 218 value box ea 1 in 218 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Teal | 1 in 4 breaker delight 1 in 142 fanatics box 1 in 101 hobby 1 in 41 jumbo 1 in 1,805 mega box cee 1 in 1,805 mega box ea 1 in 1,805 mega box se 1 in 291 value box cee 1 in 291 value box ea 1 in 291 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Yellow | 1 in 4 breaker delight 1 in 154 fanatics box 1 in 110 hobby 1 in 44 jumbo 1 in 1,964 mega box cee 1 in 1,964 mega box ea 1 in 1,964 mega box se 1 in 316 value box cee 1 in 316 value box ea 1 in 316 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Aqua | 1 in 6 breaker delight 1 in 213 fanatics box 1 in 152 hobby 1 in 61 jumbo 1 in 2,714 mega box cee 1 in 2,714 mega box ea 1 in 2,714 mega box se 1 in 437 value box cee 1 in 437 value box ea 1 in 437 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Blue | 1 in 7 breaker delight 1 in 282 fanatics box 1 in 202 hobby 1 in 80 jumbo 1 in 3,603 mega box cee 1 in 3,603 mega box ea 1 in 3,603 mega box se 1 in 579 value box cee 1 in 579 value box ea 1 in 579 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Green | 1 in 11 breaker delight 1 in 428 fanatics box 1 in 306 hobby 1 in 122 jumbo 1 in 5,456 mega box cee 1 in 5,456 mega box ea 1 in 5,456 mega box se 1 in 877 value box cee 1 in 877 value box ea 1 in 877 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Purple | 1 in 14 breaker delight 1 in 565 fanatics box 1 in 403 hobby 1 in 160 jumbo 1 in 7,215 mega box cee 1 in 7,215 mega box ea 1 in 7,215 mega box se 1 in 1,158 value box cee 1 in 1,158 value box ea 1 in 1,158 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Gold | 1 in 21 breaker delight 1 in 846 fanatics box 1 in 604 hobby 1 in 240 jumbo 1 in 10,822 mega box cee 1 in 10,822 mega box ea 1 in 10,822 mega box se 1 in 1,737 value box cee 1 in 1,737 value box ea 1 in 1,737 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Orange | 1 in 41 breaker delight 1 in 1,699 fanatics box 1 in 1,209 hobby 1 in 480 jumbo 1 in 21,643 mega box cee 1 in 21,643 mega box ea 1 in 21,643 mega box se 1 in 3,474 value box cee 1 in 3,474 value box ea 1 in 3,474 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Black | 1 in 101 breaker delight 1 in 4,298 fanatics box 1 in 3,022 hobby 1 in 1,203 jumbo 1 in 54,557 mega box cee 1 in 54,557 mega box ea 1 in 54,557 mega box se 1 in 8,686 value box cee 1 in 8,686 value box ea 1 in 8,686 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Red | 1 in 201 breaker delight 1 in 8,774 fanatics box 1 in 6,054 hobby 1 in 2,415 jumbo 1 in 109,113 mega box cee 1 in 109,113 mega box ea 1 in 109,113 mega box se 1 in 17,397 value box cee 1 in 17,397 value box ea 1 in 17,397 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Superfractors | 1 in 1,035 breaker delight 1 in 52,640 fanatics box 1 in 30,361 hobby 1 in 12,259 jumbo 1 in 654,675 mega box cee 1 in 654,675 mega box ea 1 in 654,675 mega box se 1 in 87,480 value box cee 1 in 87,481 value box ea 1 in 87,480 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Frozenfractors | 1 in 201 breaker delight 1 in 8,774 fanatics box 1 in 6,054 hobby 1 in 2,415 jumbo 1 in 109,113 mega box cee 1 in 109,113 mega box ea 1 in 109,113 mega box se 1 in 17,397 value box cee 1 in 17,397 value box ea 1 in 17,397 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Wave | 1 in 13 hobby 1 in 19 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Yellow Wave | 1 in 129 hobby | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Aqua Wave | 1 in 79 hobby 1 in 35 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Blue Wave | 1 in 104 hobby 1 in 31 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Green Wave | 1 in 158 hobby 1 in 47 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Purple Wave | 1 in 208 hobby 1 in 62 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Gold Wave | 1 in 312 hobby 1 in 93 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Orange Wave | 1 in 623 hobby 1 in 185 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Black Wave | 1 in 1,559 hobby 1 in 461 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Red Wave | 1 in 3,119 hobby 1 in 922 jumbo | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric | 1 in 3 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric Purple | 1 in 2 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric Gold | 1 in 3 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric Orange | 1 in 6 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric Black | 1 in 14 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric Red | 1 in 27 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Geometric White | 1 in 67 breaker delight | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire | 1 in 1 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Purple | 1 in 6 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Gold | 1 in 9 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Orange | 1 in 17 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Black | 1 in 42 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Red | 1 in 84 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Sapphire Padpardascha | 1 in 418 sapphire | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Basketball | 1 in 8 value box cee 1 in 8 value box ea 1 in 8 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Aqua Basketball | 1 in 238 value box cee 1 in 238 value box ea 1 in 238 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Blue Basketball | 1 in 211 value box cee 1 in 211 value box ea 1 in 211 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Green Basketball | 1 in 319 value box cee 1 in 319 value box ea 1 in 319 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Purple Basketball | 1 in 421 value box cee 1 in 421 value box ea 1 in 421 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Gold Basketball | 1 in 632 value box cee 1 in 632 value box ea 1 in 632 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Orange Basketball | 1 in 1,263 value box cee 1 in 1,263 value box ea 1 in 1,263 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Black Basketball | 1 in 3,157 value box cee 1 in 3,157 value box ea 1 in 3,157 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Red Basketball | 1 in 6,313 value box cee 1 in 6,313 value box ea 1 in 6,313 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Red White and Blue | 1 in 4 value box cee 1 in 4 value box ea 1 in 4 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave | 1 in 3 fanatics box 1 in 3 mega box cee 1 in 3 mega box ea 1 in 3 mega box se 1 in 9 value box cee 1 in 9 value box ea 1 in 9 value box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Yellow | 1 in 50 mega box cee 1 in 50 mega box ea 1 in 50 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Aqua | 1 in 68 mega box cee 1 in 68 mega box ea 1 in 68 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Blue | 1 in 90 mega box cee 1 in 90 mega box ea 1 in 90 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Green | 1 in 177 fanatics box 1 in 147 mega box cee 1 in 147 mega box ea 1 in 147 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Purple | 1 in 79 fanatics box 1 in 221 mega box cee 1 in 221 mega box ea 1 in 221 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Gold | 1 in 118 fanatics box 1 in 332 mega box cee 1 in 332 mega box ea 1 in 332 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Orange | 1 in 236 fanatics box 1 in 663 mega box cee 1 in 663 mega box ea 1 in 663 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Black | 1 in 589 fanatics box 1 in 1,656 mega box cee 1 in 1,656 mega box ea 1 in 1,656 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Red | 1 in 1,177 fanatics box 1 in 3,311 mega box cee 1 in 3,311 mega box ea 1 in 3,311 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| X-Fractors | 1 in 1 mega box cee 1 in 1 mega box ea 1 in 1 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Skylight | 1 in 1 fanatics box | Not enough odds to tell | |
| Refractors Raywave Magenta | 1 in 184 mega box cee 1 in 184 mega box ea 1 in 184 mega box se | Not enough odds to tell |
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